[Survey to be found in the spring issue of têtu·, already available online and on March 11 at your newsstands] About a little more than a year before the presidential election scheduled in 2027, Ifop has taken for têtu· the pulse of the LGBT community. Three lessons to remember about the shift in the balance of power since our last poll in February 2022.
The centrism wanes, extremes profit
The first finding of the Ifop survey conducted in February 2026: the LGBT electorate shows a willingness to turn the page on Macronism. In 2017, at the end of Emmanuel Macron’s first presidential campaign, centrism had convinced 28% of the community – as much as the radical left. The future youngest president of the Fifth Republic displayed a much more assertive progressive stance than today. He embraced, notably, the unfulfilled promise of François Hollande’s five-year term, which he participated in: the opening of medically assisted procreation (MAP) to lesbians, voted in 2021, as well as the ban on “conversion therapies.” A bilan “au finish,” as têtu· noted, which did not prevent the head of state from being the LGBT voters’ preferred candidate in 2022, during his re-election campaign, at 22% voting intentions.
Four years later, this figure is still down by 5 points, to 17% of voting intentions combined for the two heirs of the incumbent president tested by Ifop: his former Prime Ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. “The fatigue is evident: LGBT voters no longer see Macronism as capable of delivering societal progress”, notes François Kraus, director of the political division at Ifop. Even the efforts of the first openly gay prime minister in our history, who declared openness to legalizing gestational surrogacy (GPA), do nothing: Gabriel Attal gathers 8% of LGBT voting intentions, three points behind his rival from Le Havre who came from the right. Behind this retreat of the center, the community does not escape the general evolution of the French political landscape, namely a clear lead of the two poles of the political spectrum. The radical left thus rises to 29% of LGBT voting intentions, compared with 32% for the far right.
The RN on the crest of the hill
Second notable finding of this study: the far right remains strong, but it is tapering off. In 2022, voting intentions for this bloc had reached 30% within the LGBT community, versus 32% today (+2 points). A slowdown in the dynamic confirmed by the widening gap with all voters, where this figure reaches 42% (+7.5 points). It should be noted that in both cases, the National Rally (RN) holds a dominant position in its camp, since Jordan Bardella collects 27% of LGBT voting intentions, compared with 36% in the general population. “Voters for Marine Le Pen are therefore not opposed to Jordan Bardella, observes François Kraus.
On the other hand, the pollster adds, “we are observing a consolidation of this electorate, which votes for the RN out of attachment to the party and no longer merely by rejecting other parties”. Moreover, the LGBT community is once again moving away from the traditional right, which has fallen to 6% of voting intentions, against 15% in our previous poll. The difference? Valérie Pécresse had shown a relatively more progressive face than the personality tested today by Ifop for Les Républicains (LR): Bruno Retailleau, who undeniably embodies the Catholic and reactionary right, rejected by queers. “The RN is now capitalizing on a right-leaning vote that takes rights for granted and is satisfied with the status quo”, analyzes the director of Ifop’s political division. No LGBT demands from these voters, therefore, who declare as their main reason for voting RN: its security program.
The LGBT community anchored to the left
Last major takeaway from our exclusive poll: the LGBT electorate’s loyalty to the left. In the context of a polarized political debate, this translates into a leap for La France insoumise (LFI) leader, who achieves the largest progression in this survey: 25% of LGBT voting intentions ( versus 13% of the general population), i.e. 15 points higher than in February 2022. “Because of his ease in addressing gender issues, Jean-Luc Mélenchon is perceived as the candidate most at the forefront on this topic. This is even more evident among women”, analyzes François Kraus.
Note that the Socialists and Greens harvest the prize for stability: 16% of voting intentions in 2027 as in 2022. That’s 4 points higher than in the general population. A logical resistance given the history of our rights, almost all gained under left-wing governments. Overall, when 56% of all French people declare themselves right and 44% left, it is exactly the reverse among LGBT, of whom 56% identify as left. “The LGBT community remains anchored to the left, notes the director of Ifop’s political division, with a strong sensitivity to discrimination that makes it one of the solid antifascist cores.” Stubborn, the community.
*Ifop study conducted for têtu· from the 1st to the 6th of February 2026 by online self-administered questionnaire, among a sample of 1,137 LGBT individuals, drawn from a nationally representative sample of 10,196 French people.
